Abstract: Based on the 2013-2022 data of the cities in Chengdu-Chongqing Twin-city economic circle, the entropy weight TOPSIS method, Dagum’s Gini coefficient, Kernal kernel density estimation, and dynamic QCA and NCA are applied to explore the dynamic evolution of the high-quality development level in the region and the factors affecting it. The study shows that: from 2013 to 2022, the level of high-quality development in the region as a whole shows an upward trend, but the development is slow and is still at a relatively low stage of development; the level of high-quality development in the region shows a significant dynamic trend of change, and the cities with a higher level of development are mainly concentrated in the “double cores” surroundings. Around the neighborhood, the neighborhood background of the cities of the spatial spillover effect is obvious, part of the high level of the city there is a siphon effect; the region’s high-quality development can be divided into five types of grouping paths, can be refined into economic innovation and coordination of efficiency, economic coordination of green and open drive type and the new development concept of upgrading type, Chengdu-Chongqing “double cores” of the periphery of the city by the economic innovation coordination. The neighboring cities of Chengdu-Chongqing “double cores” are affected by the economic innovation and coordination efficiency type, and the other cities are mostly affected by the new development concept upgrading type.

Key words: Chengdu-Chongqing twin-city economic circle, high-quality development, dynamic evolution, group analysis

摘要： 基于2013—2022年成渝地区双城经济圈各市数据，运用熵权TOPSIS法、Dagum基尼系数、Kernal核密度估计以及动态QCA、NCA，探讨该区域高质量发展水平动态演化及影响因素。区域内高质量发展水平整体呈现上升态势，但发展缓慢，仍处于较低发展阶段；区域内高质量发展水平呈现显著的动态变化趋势，发展水平较高的城市主要集中于成渝“双核”周围，邻域背景下各城市空间溢出效应明显，部分高水平城市存在虹吸效应；区域内高质量发展可分为五种组态路径，可提炼为经济创新协调增效型、经济协调绿色开放驱动型和新发展理念升级型，成渝“双核”周边城市受经济创新协调增效型组态影响，其他城市多受新发展理念升级型组态影响。

关键词: 成渝地区双城经济圈, 高质量发展, 动态演化, 组态分析