Abstract: From the angle of each nodes cooperation between enterprises of supply chain of automobile industry from the external environment, internal environment of automobile industry supply chain and the automobile industry supply chain, the automobile industry supply risk is identified. The evaluation index system of automobile industry supply risk is established. The automobile industry supply risk assessment fuzzy analytic hierarchy process is used. Finally, from the perspective of the theory of flexible guard against the risk of auto industry supply, relevant strategies are put forward.

Key words: flexibility, supply risk, fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, automobile industry supply chain

摘要： 从汽车产业供应链的外部环境、内部环境及汽车产业供应链中各节点企业之间合作关系的角度，对汽车产业供应风险进行了识别；构建出汽车产业供应风险评价指标体系，运用模糊层次分析法对汽车产业供应风险进行评估；从柔性理论的视角提出防范汽车产业供应风险的相关策略。

关键词: 柔性, 供应风险, 模糊层次分析法, 汽车产业供应链