›› 2020, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (2): 43-50.

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Research on Risk Assessment of Dangerous Goods Transportation on Roads Based on AHP and Entropy Method

LI Shengchao, WU Yue, BAI Xuemeng   

  1. (School of Economics and Management, Changan University, Xian 710064, China)
  • Received:2019-11-07 Revised:2019-11-29 Online:2020-03-20 Published:2020-04-01

基于AHP和熵权法的道路危货运输风险评估研究

李升朝,吴越,白雪萌   

  1. 长安大学 经济与管理学院,西安 710064
  • 作者简介:李升朝(1968—),男,长安大学经济与管理学院副教授,研究方向:交通运输行政管理、交通运输法等;吴越(1996—),女,长安大学经济与管理学院硕士生,研究方向:交通运输规划与管理。
  • 基金资助:
    陕西省道路运输管理局专题研究项目“陕西省道路危险货物运输风险管理与应急救援体系研究”(SNJZ-2017-166)

Abstract: In order to effectively reduce the incidence of dangerous goods transport accidents on roads in China, we ensure the safety of dangerous goods transportation. Combined with AHP and entropy weight method to calculate the comprehensive weight, on this basis, the fuzzy comprehensive evaluation matrix is constructed to evaluate the risk of dangerous goods transportation on roads. The results show that the method can effectively evaluate the safety of dangerous goods transport enterprises on roads, and has certain theoretical and practical application value for dangerous goods transportation risk assessment on roads, and at the same time help improve the current quantitative assessment of dangerous goods transportation risk assessment on roads and insufficient aspects.

Key words: dangerous goods transportation on roads, AHP, entropy weight method, fuzzy mathematics, risk assessment

摘要: 为有效降低我国道路危险货物运输事故发生率,保证危险货物运输安全,结合AHP和熵权法计算综合权重,在此基础上构建模糊综合评价矩阵,评价道路危险货物运输风险情况。结果表明,所用方法可有效评价道路危险货物运输企业的安全性,对道路危险货物运输风险评估具有一定的理论和实际应用价值,有助于弥补目前道路危险货物运输风险评估定量研究方面的不足。

关键词: 道路危险货物运输, AHP, 熵权法, 模糊数学, 风险评估