重庆交通大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2014, Vol. 14 ›› Issue (2): 50-53.

• 经济纵横 • 上一篇    下一篇

基于脉冲响应的海洋经济与产业结构演进研究

卢珂1,2,吴价宝1   

  1. 1.淮海工学院 商学院,江苏 连云港 222005;2.中国矿业大学 管理学院,江苏 徐州 221116
  • 收稿日期:2013-10-10 修回日期:2013-10-22 出版日期:2014-04-30 发布日期:2016-04-06
  • 作者简介:卢珂(1990-),男,安徽萧县人,中国矿业大学管理学院硕士研究生,研究方向:管理科学与工程;吴价宝(1965-),男,安徽桐城人,淮海工学院商学院院长,教授,博士,硕士生导师,研究方向:管理科学与工程。
  • 基金资助:
    江苏省“青蓝工程”创新团队,江苏省海岸带经济与港口物流创新团队,江苏省海洋科学与技术优势学科资助项目。

Research on Marine Economy & Industrial Structure Development Based on Impulse Response

LU Ke1,2,WU Jiabao1   

  1. (1.School of Business,Huaihai Institute of Technology,Lianyungang,Jiangsu 222005,China; 2.School of Management,China University of Mining & Technology,Xuzhou,Jiangsu 221116,China)
  • Received:2013-10-10 Revised:2013-10-22 Online:2014-04-30 Published:2016-04-06

摘要: 中国拥有丰富的海洋资源,海洋经济潜力巨大。海洋经济发展与海洋产业结构演进形成了良性的互动机制,但对其与内陆产业结构的研究不足。论述海洋经济与内陆产业结构演进的作用机制,并基于向量自回归模型实现海洋经济与产业结构演进的脉冲响应分析,得出海洋经济的发展短期内会促进第二产业的发展,长期内第二产业所占比例呈下降趋势,第三产业所占比例不断提高。结合中国海洋经济发展现状给出政策建议。

关键词: 海洋经济, 产业结构, 脉冲响应, VAR

Abstract: China has a rich marine resources and huge potential for development of marine economy. Marine economic development is forming a benign interaction mechanism with evolution of ocean industrial structure,but its research on inland industrial structure is still insufficient. The mechanism of marine economy and inland industrial structure evolution is discussed here,and impulse response analysis of marine economy and industrial structure evolution based on the VAR model is done. It is concluded that the development of marine economy will promote the development of secondary industry in short term,and in the long term the proportion of secondary industry will show a downward trend while the proportion of tertiary industry continuously improve. Combined with Chinese marine economic development status,policy recommendations are given.

Key words: marine economy, industrial structure, impulse response, VAR