Forecast of Sichuan Province Yangtze River Container Transportation and Prospects

›› 2015, Vol. 15 ›› Issue (6): 21-25.

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Forecast of Sichuan Province Yangtze River Container Transportation and Prospects

XU Jinji

(College of Traffic & Transportation, Chongqing Jiaotong University, Chongqing 400074, China)

Received:2015-08-09 Online:2015-12-31 Published:2016-01-08

四川省长江集装箱运输预测及展望

许锦基

重庆交通大学交通运输学院，重庆 400074

作者简介:许锦基（1993-），男，重庆交通大学交通运输学院航运管理专业学生，研究方向：航运管理。

Abstract

Abstract: In order to accelerate the development of container transportation in Sichuan Province, the Sichuan Yangtse River container transportation forecasting method is analyzed and chosen. The growth rate method is applied to forecast the GDP in Sichuan area. On this basis, the optimal combination model of GM (1, 1) model and Verhulst model are set up. The container transportation volume of Sichuan province is analyzed. The future development of container transportation in Sichuan is predicted.

Key words: Sichuan, container transportation volume, forecast, outlook

摘要： 为加快发展四川省集装箱运输，本文分析和选择了四川省长江集装箱运输量预测方法，并应用增长率法对四川地区GDP进行预测。在此基础上，集合GM(1，1)模型和Verhulst模型的最优组合模型，对四川省集装箱运输量进行具体预测分析，并展望四川省集装箱运输的未来发展。

关键词: 四川, 集装箱运输量, 预测, 展望

XU Jinji. Forecast of Sichuan Province Yangtze River Container Transportation and Prospects[J]. , 2015, 15(6): 21-25.

许锦基. 四川省长江集装箱运输预测及展望[J]. 重庆交通大学学报（社会科学版）, 2015, 15(6): 21-25.

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Forecast of Sichuan Province Yangtze River Container Transportation and Prospects

四川省长江集装箱运输预测及展望

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