重庆交通大学学报(社会科学版) ›› 2026, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (3): 123-136.

• 经济管理 • 上一篇    

成渝地区双城经济圈高质量发展 动态演化及影响因素的组态分析

邱 爽, 邓江南, 曹小艺   

  1. 西华师范大学,四川 南充 637009
  • 收稿日期:2024-11-23 修回日期:2025-01-14 出版日期:2026-06-25 发布日期:2026-06-10
  • 作者简介:邱爽,女,西华师范大学商学院教授,博士;邓江南,男,西华师范大学商学院硕士研究生;曹小艺,女,西华师范大学教育学院硕士研究生。
  • 基金资助:
    四川省哲学社会科学后期资助项目“‘成渝双城经济圈’发展战略背景下川渝协同创新研究”(SCJJ23HQ04);南充市社 会科学研究“十四五”规划项目“都市农业发展与城市资源环境承载力耦合协调研究”(NC24A019);西华师范大学基本科研业务费人文社会科学类项目“中国式现代化进程中成渝地区双城经济圈高质量发展研究”(24SA004)

A Group Analysis of the Dynamic Evolution of High-Quality Development and Influencing Factors in Chengdu-Chongqing Twin-city Economic Circle

Qiu Shuang,Deng Jiangnan,Cao Xiaoyi   

  1. West China Normal University,Nanchong,Sichuan 637009,China
  • Received:2024-11-23 Revised:2025-01-14 Online:2026-06-25 Published:2026-06-10

摘要: 基于2013—2022年成渝地区双城经济圈各市数据,运用熵权TOPSIS法、Dagum基尼系数、Kernal核密度估计以及动态QCA、NCA,探讨该区域高质量发展水平动态演化及影响因素。区域内高质量发展水平整体呈现上升态势,但发展缓慢,仍处于较低发展阶段;区域内高质量发展水平呈现显著的动态变化趋势,发展水平较高的城市主要集中于成渝“双核”周围,邻域背景下各城市空间溢出效应明显,部分高水平城市存在虹吸效应;区域内高质量发展可分为五种组态路径,可提炼为经济创新协调增效型、经济协调绿色开放驱动型和新发展理念升级型,成渝“双核”周边城市受经济创新协调增效型组态影响,其他城市多受新发展理念升级型组态影响。

关键词: 成渝地区双城经济圈, 高质量发展, 动态演化, 组态分析

Abstract: Based on the 2013-2022 data of the cities in Chengdu-Chongqing Twin-city economic circle, the entropy weight TOPSIS method, Dagum’s Gini coefficient, Kernal kernel density estimation, and dynamic QCA and NCA are applied to explore the dynamic evolution of the high-quality development level in the region and the factors affecting it. The study shows that: from 2013 to 2022, the level of high-quality development in the region as a whole shows an upward trend, but the development is slow and is still at a relatively low stage of development; the level of high-quality development in the region shows a significant dynamic trend of change, and the cities with a higher level of development are mainly concentrated in the “double cores” surroundings. Around the neighborhood, the neighborhood background of the cities of the spatial spillover effect is obvious, part of the high level of the city there is a siphon effect; the region’s high-quality development can be divided into five types of grouping paths, can be refined into economic innovation and coordination of efficiency, economic coordination of green and open drive type and the new development concept of upgrading type, Chengdu-Chongqing “double cores” of the periphery of the city by the economic innovation coordination. The neighboring cities of Chengdu-Chongqing “double cores” are affected by the economic innovation and coordination efficiency type, and the other cities are mostly affected by the new development concept upgrading type.

Key words: Chengdu-Chongqing twin-city economic circle, high-quality development, dynamic evolution, group analysis